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AUD/JPY GAINS ON GROWING EXPECTATIONS FOR A MORE HAWKISH RBA

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  • AUD/JPY continues its winning streak after the stronger Australian CPI was released on Wednesday.
  • Australia’s 10-year government bond yield has surged to 4.49% near five-month highs on waning expectations of the RBA rate cuts.
  • The Japanese Yen continues to depreciate as the BoJ is expected to abstain from implementing rate hikes on Friday.

AUD/JPY edges higher for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) found support following the release of Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, which exceeded expectations. This development hints at a potentially hawkish stance for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary policy, bolstering the AUD and subsequently supporting the AUD/JPY pair.

Australia’s 10-year government bond yield has surged above 4.49%, nearing five-month highs, as robust domestic inflation figures have strengthened expectations of the RBA delaying interest rate cuts. Moreover, easing tensions in the Middle East has fostered a positive market sentiment, benefiting risk-sensitive currencies like the AUD.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to depreciate ahead of the upcoming release of the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) Monetary Policy Statement scheduled for Friday. It's widely anticipated that the BoJ will abstain from implementing rate hikes in this meeting.

According to reports from Nikkei, the BoJ is likely to deliberate on the "impact of accelerating Yen depreciation," indicating that the central bank may intervene in the foreign exchange markets if the JPY weakens.


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