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Daily Digest Market Movers: The Indian Rupee remains vulnerable at the start of the election

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  • In mid-April, India’s foreign exchange reserves stood at USD 564.5 billion ( 48 billion over a year), equating to more than 7.6 months of goods and services imports.
  • The Indian rupee remains stable at the start of the election period, holding up better than other Asian currencies so far. Since the start of April, it has only depreciated by 0.6% against the US Dollar.
  • The Indian economy needs to grow at a rate of 8–10% per annum over the next decade to reap the demographic dividend, according to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) monthly bulletin.
  • The main economic challenge for the Indian government after the election is unemployment, according to economists polled by Reuters, who forecast India to expand at a solid 6.5% this fiscal year.
  • The US Durable Goods Orders improved 2.6% MoM or $7.3 billion, to $283.4 billion in March, compared to the 0.7% increase (revised from 1.4%) in February. The increase in overall orders was the biggest since November 2023
  • Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation rose by 0.2% MoM in March, while new orders excluding defense rose 2.3% MoM in the same period. Both figures came in below the consensus. 


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