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AUD/JPY HOVERS AROUND FIVE-MONTH HIGHS AHEAD OF BOJ'S POLICY DECISION

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  • AUD/JPY extends its winning streak after the lower-than-expected Tokyo CPI data released on Friday.
  • The Australian 10-year Government Bond Yield has reached a 21-week high of 4.59%.
  • Tokyo CPI has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2% target for the second time this year.

AUD/JPY extends its winning streak for the fifth consecutive session on Friday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) finds support from increasing bids for a hawkish stance for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) monetary policy. The revision by TD Securities indicates a delay in the expected rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) until February 2025 instead of November. This boosts the Australian Dollar (AUD) and consequently supports the AUD/JPY cross.

Australia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Wednesday, surpassing expectations, is also playing a role in an increase in Australian government bond yields as traders price out expectations regarding interest rate cuts by the RBA in 2024. The Australian 10-year Government Bond Yield has reached a 21-week high of 4.59%, indicating a significant upward trend.

The Japanese Yen (JPY) depreciated following the release of Japan's Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI), which came in well below expectations early Friday. This print marks the second time this year that inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2% target, reducing pressure on the central bank to raise interest rates again. As a result, market sentiment is shifting towards the expectation that the BoJ will abstain from implementing rate hikes during its meeting on Friday.


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