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花旗:今年底恒指目标价19800点 推荐银河娱乐(00027)、腾讯(00700)等股

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1月11日,花旗集团发表投资展望。其预料,恒指年中达19000点,年底看19800点,分别对应预测市盈率9.4倍及8.9倍。港股首选股包括银娱(00027)及腾讯(00700)等。

花旗称,市场上有不少声音指,恒指估值较平均历史水平低,或许是入场的好机会,但花旗集团中国股票策略师刘显达认为这属合理,因为盈利增长已有所放缓。据花旗资料显示,市场现预期今年恒指每股盈利增长9.4%,较去年的17%大幅下滑。

中资股方面,花旗尤其看好科技相关板块,因中央正聚焦于长期结构性改革。与此同时,疫后复苏受惠股如博彩、旅游及出行相关股,上半年增长仍可望高于平均水平。此外,中国内地和香港高息股亦可看高一线。

细分行业方面,花旗偏好受惠政策支持的科技股、具盈利增长的科网股、消费降级相关的股份,以及派发高息的油汽股与电讯股。H股首选股包括银娱、滔博(06110)、友邦(01299)、腾讯及比亚迪(01211)。

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