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技术分析 – 金价连创历史新高

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技术分析 – 金价连创历史新高

  • 金价突破50日SMA后大幅上涨
  • 最近几个交易日连创历史新高
  • 动量指标显示超买

金价强劲突破50日移动平均线(SMA后一直处上升趋势,在过去几个交易日接创历史新高。然而,由于一周多来动量指标一直处超买区间,交易员不应排除回调的可能性。

若持续看涨,则价格可能初步升至斐波那契138.2%位置的价格2,181(对应图中2,079-1,810)。若成功突破此处,价格或将再次触及历史高点2,195。继续上行,价格有望升至斐波拉契150.0%位置的价格2,213。

反之,若价格小幅回调,则斐波那契123.6%位置的价格2,142可能初步提供支撑。继而价格或将在2023年4月和12月曾提供强劲支撑的2,079处止跌。继续下行,价格可能触及斐波那契78.6%位置的价格2,021。

简而言之,短期内金价持续飙升,并在波动性加剧的情况下连续创下历史高点。然而,有迹象表明,由于短期震荡指标深陷超买区间,近期涨势可能有些过度延伸。

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