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6.4晚盘黄金分析策略:【黄金】 白盘黄金延续一波震荡走高,测压1330未果,欧盘时段有所承压回修,虽然目前回修动作不是很大,但是至少已经开始有回修迹象了,不再是此前那般无厘头式的偏激回升,见不到合理的回调,对于多空都是难于进行操作的,所以目前无论回调空间有多大,只要有回调动作,那么行情就有可参与的机会。 在连续三日大阳线后,多头动能持续消耗,上方面临1330压力测试,同时目前美指也有止跌回修迹象,所以技术上黄金晚间大概率是会有进一步回修调整预期的,以小时图结构来看,下方着重需要关注1312-10一带的回踩测试,而在此之前,1320的争夺也显得很重要,或将决定行情是选择空间回修,还是以时间换空间的方式进行修正。 此外,黄金未来的走势方向的影响因素重点还是要消息面的引导,所谓“成也萧何,败也萧何”,此波回升因避险情绪而起,市场对美联储降息预期加强又起到推波助澜的作用,所以一旦避险情绪降温,或美联储放出鹰派言论,那么黄金的利好将消失,也将会面临回吐前期涨幅的风险。

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