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到达第一目标位20000附近,短线清仓了空单美指#US30# 波段账户翻了两翻, 四个礼拜不到社区上的小账户也接近七八十。等待明确机会。个人觉得各大股指后期还有高空的大波段机会。先看20000附近企稳,接下去目标位18000 15000。既然认为是金融危机,那么腰斩作为目标位并不是天方夜谭。疫情 和原油催化了这次行情。这一波应该为情绪盘,和预期盘,随着后期靴子落地会有潜在反弹空间,基本面没有实质恶化。不过原油暴跌已经导致大量美国油企的BBB级债务出现违约风险,一旦出现大规模违约以及降档垃圾债券,将催动债券市场危机。目前BBB级债券占50万亿美元债券市场接近50%下个波段的开仓做空股市的时点应该会是第一批违约债券出现的时点。

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