欧元兑美元料涨向1.25-1.27；北欧联合银行认为欧元兑美元将涨向1.25-1.27，但也注意到了几个“灰天鹅”的警告信号；欧元区和美国之间的相对金融状况表明，2021年美国的表现极有可能超过欧元区，但只要全球增长反弹被认为是同步和广泛的，就宜买入欧元兑美元，如果在2021下半年美国和欧元区增长之间的差距过大，这种说法可能会受到考验；利率和头寸的模型仍显示欧元兑美元将走高，然而公允价值最近已经企稳，并开始小幅走低，原因是美国国债收益率相对上升，以及美元的空头仓位逐步建立，如果2021年上半年美国固定收益债券进一步遭到抛售，将降低欧元兑美元的公允估值，从而帮助支撑美元
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