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黄金交易【黄金/美元指数】:最近几天黄金美元指数都同涨,很多人不理解其中的逻辑,其实里面的道理很简单,就从黄金跟美指对应这次加息跟通胀问题展开讲! 【黄金上涨】:关于加息议题不是今年开始的更不是这几个星期开始的 ,加息议题从去年开始的,已经多次打压黄金的上涨势头,所以这次越是临近越会上涨,当然当天的加息落地不管是按预期执行,还是超预期执行黄金下跌也会是正常逻辑,但是下跌多少是看加息落地是否按预期执行: 还有全球通胀是黄金长期上涨的动力,在高通胀高经济增速的背景下黄金上涨是必然。 三种情况: 1、按预期执行:黄金行情先跌后涨(大概率事件) 2、低于预期执行:黄金行情暴涨(小概率事件) 3、高于预期执行:黄金要下跌 (小概率事件) 【美元指数上涨】: 上周美元指数的上周上涨是受加息影响最主要的刺激,加息也是最直接利多美指利益关系! 所以美元指数在临近加息前上涨是很正常的!但是未来加息落地美元也会先涨后跌的走向。

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