最后也是最重要的，据CME美联储观察显示，美联储到明年3月维持利率不变的概率为8.3%，累计降息25个基点的概率为76.8%，累计降息50个基点的概率为14.9%。
这导致美元和美债收益率持续走低，美指已经来到了100.8附近，逼近年内低点，而10年期美债则是连跌10周，从5.02%跌到了目前的3.8附近。
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