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由于美联储对降息的降温预期,6月份之前大概率都不会降息,美元突破了周线级别的关键下跌趋势压制位104.80。美元指数周线收在106.02那么预示着美元将在美联储降息之前的日子里以多头为主。欧美丢失关键支撑位1.0714那么预示着下方还有空间,欧元面临着更大级别的下跌。接下来我的交易将围绕着欧美逢高做空的策略,而不是之前的逢低做多。美元指数的反弹高度大概率会到107.20,极限位置则会反弹到109.00附近。那么对应欧美的支撑有可能会到1.0400附近,那么物极必反美联储的政策会导致美国进入降息周期后美元将迎来漫长的下跌周期。等待美元到极值我才会考虑布局非美货币的多单。时间大概就是今年下半年空间大概就是美元指数到109出现顶部结构的时候。下面三张图就是美元指数突破关键压制位非美下破关键支撑位的图形分析。至于黄金半夜下杀之后下周看反弹修复。昨天半夜以如此一致的下跌速度下跌了1000点,我只能猜测是美国背后的金融巨头在交易冷清的时候突然做空直接杀多收割市场。

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