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#WTI.F# ​油价周二连续下跌逾1%,跌幅空间接近3美元;继续延续了周一的跌势,自4月7日以来原油一直震荡走跌,受累于美国原油产量上升以及以色列-哈马斯停火希望。美原油已经初步失守55日均线,周三已经触及81.00低位,周三凌晨出炉的API原油库存意外大增490万桶,市场原本预期为减少323万桶。另一方面,最近几天,人们对以色列和哈马斯之间达成停火协议的期望越来越高,此前埃及牵头重新推动双方恢复停滞不前的谈判。库存增高以及地缘风险降低导致了油价的走低,为了平衡市场,石油输出国组织(OPEC) 4月份产量有所下降,反映出伊朗、伊拉克和尼日利亚的出口下降,而一些成员国与更广泛的OPEC+联盟达成一致,持续自愿削减供应。原油偏震荡运行,周三的操作上区间高抛低吸思路,技术面压力位注意82.40;83.30;支撑位注意81.00;80.70;5月1日周三需要重点关注美国EIA原油库存系列数据、美国4月ADP就业数据和美国4月ISM制造业PMI数据,关注美联储决议和美联储主席鲍威尔新闻发布会。(仅代表个人观点,请谨慎操作)

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