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One of the International Monetary Fund's top economists signals little risk of a global recession, despite the ongoing rumblings of geopolitical uncertainty. The Washington DC-based institute this week nudged its global growth outlook slightly higher to 3.2% in 2024 and projects the same rate in 202

EUR/USD edges down ahead of HICP inflation data for the Eurozone. Speeches by several key ECB governing council members could also impact EUR/USD. EUR/USD enters oversold levels on the daily chart, indicating risk of a pullback. EUR/USD trades slightly down on Wednesday in the lower 1.0600s, as it c

The British pound is steady on Monday. In the North American session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2445, up 0.05%. US retail sales climb 0.7% US consumers continue to shop and spend as March retail sales was stronger than expected. Retail sales rose 0.7% m/m, up from a revised 0.9% gain in February and a

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In focus today We continue to follow the developments in the Middle East after Iran's strike on Israel in the weekend. It will be key to watch for signals on the extent of an Israeli retaliation. So far, Israel has said it will "exact a price" from Iran, while the US, France, and the UK have all urg

Summary Middle East tensions have escalated following Iran's strike on Israel this past weekend; however, we continue to believe a broader regional conflict is not imminent. In this report, we offer takeaways and perspective from the latest escalation, and also highlight that our global economic, mo